Research
Association between screening and the thyroid cancer “epidemic” in South Korea: evidence from a nationwide studyBMJ 2016; 355 doi: Δεν είναι ορατοί οι σύνδεσμοι (links).
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Είσοδος (Published 30 November 2016)
Cite this as: BMJ 2016;355:i5745
Sohee Park, associate professor1 2, Chang-Mo Oh, associate scientist1, Hyunsoon Cho, assistant professor1 3, Joo Young Lee, postdoctoral fellow1 4, Kyu-Won Jung, senior scientist1, Jae Kwan Jun, chief scientist1 3, Young-Joo Won, senior scientist1 3, Hyun-Joo Kong, data manager1, Kui Son Choi, professor1 3, You Jin Lee, associate scientist5, Jin Soo Lee, chief scientist3 6
Author affiliations
Correspondence to: J S Lee, National Cancer Center Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, 111, Jungbalsan-ro, Ilsandong-gu, Goyang, Gyeonggi-do 410-769, Republic of Korea jslee@ncc.re.kr
Accepted 21 October 2016
Abstract
Objective To investigate whether screening for thyroid cancer led to the current “epidemic” in South Korea.
Design Review of the medical records of nationally representative samples of patients with a diagnosis of thyroid cancer in 1999, 2005, and 2008.
Setting Sample cases were randomly selected from South Korea’s nationwide cancer registry, using a systematic sampling method after stratification by region.
Participants 5796 patients with thyroid cancer were included (891 in 1999, 2355 in 2005, and 2550 in 2008).
Main outcome measures The primary outcome was age standardised incidence of thyroid cancer and the changes in incidence between 1999 and 2008 according to the methods used to detect tumours (screen detection versus clinical detection versus unspecified).
Results Between 1999 and 2008, the incidence of thyroid cancer increased 6.4-fold (95% confidence interval 4.9-fold to 8.4-fold), from 6.4 (95% confidence interval 6.2 to 6.6) per 100 000 population to 40.7 (40.2 to 41.2) per 100 000 population. Of the increase, 94.4% (34.4 per 100 000 population) were for tumours less than 20 mm, which were detected mainly by screening. 97.1% of the total increase was localised and regional tumours according to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage. Where cases were clinically detected, 99.9% of the increased incidences (6.4 per 100 000 population) over the same period were tumours less than 20 mm.
Conclusion The current “epidemic” of thyroid cancer in South Korea is due to an increase in the detection of small tumours, most likely as a result of overdetection. Concerted efforts are needed at a national level to
reduce unnecessary thyroid ultrasound examinations in the asymptomatic general population.Δεν είναι ορατοί οι σύνδεσμοι (links).
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